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Ethanol At A Glance


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09

Ethanol at a Glance - December 9th Edition

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For the week ending on December 4, 2015 the EIA reported a corn for ethanol grind of 104.3 million bushels. Grind rebounded this past week – up by 3.89 million bushels. Today’s WASDE report upped corn for ethanol usage by 25 million bushels. This pegs the new USDA weekly target grind at 100 million bushels per week. See below.
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02

Ethanol at a Glance - December 2nd Edition

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For the week ending on November 27, 2015 the EIA reported a corn for ethanol grind of 100.4 million bushels. Ethanol production fell to 956,000 barrels per day last week, or 5.2%, from the last week’s 1.08 million barrel record grind.
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25

Ethanol at a Glance - November 25th Edition

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For the week ending on November 20, 2015 the EIA reported a corn for ethanol grind of 105.8 million bushels. The story for ethanol this week is a surge in corn for ethanol grind – up 3,500,000 bushels from last week. Total ethanol production came in at a record high of 1,008,000 barrels per day. Although producers are entering the peak production season this is well above the USDA weekly target of 99.5 million bushels per week. See below.
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18

Ethanol at a Glance - November 18th Edition

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For the week ending on November 13, 2015 the EIA reported a corn for ethanol grind of 102.3 million bushels. This is down 730,000 bushels from last week but is still above the USDA weekly target of 99.5 million bushels per week. From a big picture standpoint, crush margins dipped below breakeven as nearby ethanol futures have slid 9.24% since the beginning of the month. See below.
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04

Ethanol at a Glance - November 4th Edition

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For the week ending on October 30, 2015 the EIA reported a corn for ethanol grind of 101.7 million bushels – up 2.6 million bushels from last week. Ethanol demand was above the USDA target level as seasonal disruptions related to planned maintenance faded. Gasoline demand pulled back on the week, down 1.7% from the prior week but still in line with demand for this time last year.
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28

Ethanol at a Glance - October 28th Edition

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For the week ending on October 23, 2015 the EIA reported corn for ethanol grind at 99.1 million bushels, down 740,000 bushels from last week. The real story for ethanol is strong gasoline demand and reductions in ethanol stocks. See below.
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21

Ethanol at a Glance - October 21st Edition

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For the week ending on October 16, 2015 the EIA reported an implied corn for ethanol grind of 99.9 million bushels – up 210,000 bushels from last week. The weekly corn grind going forward needed to reach the current USDA estimate is 101.20 million bushels per week.
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15

Ethanol at a Glance - October 15th Edition

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For the week ending on October 9, 2015 the EIA reported an implied corn for ethanol grind of 99.64 million bushels – down 105,000 bushels from last week. The weekly corn grind going forward needed to reach the current USDA estimate is 101.10 million bushels per week.
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07

Ethanol at a Glance - October 7th Edition

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Ethanol production continues above last year, but slightly below the level needed to reach the USDA annual estimate. Notice that the weekly grind normally ramps up into the year end.
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10

Ethanol at a Glance - September 10th Edition

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For the week ending on September 4, 2015 the EIA reported an implied corn for ethanol grind of 100.6 million bushels – up over a million bushels from last week’s 99.5. Even so this behind the USDA weekly target by 400,000 bushels. The USDA’s current 15-16 corn for ethanol use estimate is 5.250 bln bushels, 50 million bushels higher than 14-15. Weekly corn grind going forward needs to average 101.00 million bushels per week to reach the current USDA new crop estimate.
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Quotes are delayed at least 10-minutes. Market Data provided by Barchart.com
These data and comments are provided for information purposes only and are not intended to be used for specific trading strategies. This commentary is written as a daily marketing tool to help farmers sell the grain they raise. Although all information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Past performance and testimonials are not necessarily indicative of future results. Commodity trading involves the risk of loss, and you should fully understand those risks before trading. This material should be construed as market commentary, merely observing economic, political and/or market conditions, and not intended to refer to any particular trading strategy, promotional element or quality of service provided by Roach Ag. Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag. Marketing Ltd. is not responsible for any redistribution of this material by third parties, or any trading decisions taken by persons not intended to view this material. These materials do not necessarily reflect the viewpoints and trading strategies employed by Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. All forecasts of market conditions are inherently subjective and speculative, and actual results and subsequent forecasts may vary significantly from these forecasts.