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09

April USDA Supply & Demand

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The USDA raised U.S. soybean imports by 30 million bushels to solve for a very tight current stocks position at 135 million bushels, down from 145 last month and just under the trade guess of 139 million bushels. The move by the USDA suggests stocks are actually much tighter and U.S. buyers will have to rely on S. American supplies to manage stocks.
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Today’s U.S. Planting Intentions report indicates farmers said they intend to reduce corn acres for soybeans in 84,500 surveys taken the last week of February and early March. The trade was looking for 92.74 million acres on average, leaving the surveyed number below the trade guess by just over 1 million acres.
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10

March USDA Supply & Demand

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Today’s mid-day release of the latest supply/demand number pegged corn ending stocks at 1.456 Billion bushels, within the trade guess range. Soybean ending stocks were reported at 145 million bushels, slightly higher than the average trade guess but well within the range. I think it is as much Chinese cargo cancellations from Brazil that has the oilseed complex lower early this afternoon. The USDA also chose to raise soybean imports (+5 million bu) , suggesting they see price advantages comi...
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Categories: | Tags: WASDE , USDA Report | View Count: (4785)
10

February USDA Supply & Demand

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Traders were again guessing U.S. stocks too high as the USDA raised corn exports while leaving ethanol and higher feed demand alone for now. The USDA stocks number was 93 million bushels below the low end pre-report number.
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24

January 2014 USDA Cattle on Feed

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United States Cattle on Feed Down 5 Percent. Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 10.6 million head on January 1, 2014. The inventory was 5 percent below January 1, 2013. The inventory included 6.78 million steers and steer calves, down 4 percent from the previous year.
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Categories: | Tags: USDA , Cattle on Feed | View Count: (2153)
10

January USDA Supply & Demand

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In today’s major USDA supply and demand report, most traders were surprised by larger corn feed demand numbers, up 100 million bushels and ethanol by another 50 million bushels. Corn ending stocks were reduced to 1.631 billion bushels from December report at 1.792 billion bushels. The trade guess average was too high by 224 million bushels or 12%! To tighten stocks further, final corn yield numbers were reduced to 158.8 bu/acre. Our position has been current corn values are cheap enough to s...
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Categories: | Tags: WASDE , Supply & Demand , USDA Report | View Count: (4909)
20

USDA Cattle on Feed

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Cattle on Feed as of Dec 1: 94.5%; Placed on Feed during Nov: 96.9%; Cattle Marketed during Nov: 95.5%
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Categories: | Tags: usda , cattle , cattle on feed , livestock | View Count: (2421)
10

December USDA Supply & Demand

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Slightly friendly U.S. and world corn ending stocks vs. trade guess. The USDA sees corn demand up 100 million bushels total (50 million higher exports, 50 million higher ethanol), adjusting ending stocks tighter by 95 million bushels. The ending stock result was 79 million bushels to the low side of trade guesses but within the ranges. Corn still faces the threat of rising supplies headed into the January report and a mostly short spec crowd.
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Categories: | Tags: USDA Report , December Supply/Demand , Corn Demand , Soybean Demand | View Count: (1963)
08

November USDA Supply & Demand

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The trade was not given the ultra-bearish corn outlook expected in today’s WASDE update. Corn ending stocks were adjusted higher but well below the average trade guess by 142 million bushels. Stocks increased by just 32 million bushels from the September report. A 1.9 million acre reduction in harvested acres offset the higher yield estimate by 139 million bushels. Good news was seen in higher demand estimates for U.S. feed, (increased 100 million bushels) and a higher export estimate from the ...
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Categories: | Tags: USDA Report , November Supply/Demand , Acre Reduction | View Count: (1849)
24

Changes to November Crop Production Report

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USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) will publish information in the November 8th Crop Production report that was originally scheduled for release in the October report. This includes:
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Categories: | Tags: USDA Report | View Count: (1696)
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These data and comments are provided for information purposes only and are not intended to be used for specific trading strategies. This commentary is written as a daily marketing tool to help farmers sell the grain they raise. Although all information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Past performance and testimonials are not necessarily indicative of future results. Commodity trading involves the risk of loss, and you should fully understand those risks before trading.