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30

June Acreage & Quarterly Grain Stocks

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Today's USDA quarterly grain stocks reports gave a big surprise to traders in corn and bean acres with smaller adjustments in to stocks. Corn acres were reported at 94.1 million acres, up from 93.6 million in March. Soybean acres were smaller than the trade guess at 83.7 million but did increase 1.45 million acres to 83.68.
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10

June USDA Supply & Demand

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Numbers and USDA comments below.
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10

May USDA Supply & Demand

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For those who think the USDA never gives us good news, remember this report as one that actually did, that is if you are a producer of corn and beans. Wheat producers were not as lucky because the USDA just reaffirmed that wheat supplies are getting bigger...
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12

April USDA Supply & Demand

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USDA Comments: WHEAT: U.S. wheat endings stocks for 2015/16 are projected 10 million bushels higher on reduced feed and residual use. At 976 million bushels, these would be the largest ending stocks since 1987. The reduced feed and residual use reflects lower disappearance during the December-February and September-November quarters as indicated by March 1 stocks and revised December 1 stocks, both from the March 31 Grain Stocks report. The projected season-average farm price is lowered $0.1...
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31

March USDA Grain Stocks & Planting Intentions

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Corn planted area for all purposes in 2016 is estimated at 93.6 million acres, up 6 percent from last year. If realized, this will represent the highest planted acreage in the United States since 2013, and will be the third highest planted acreage in the United States since 1944.
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09

March USDA Supply & Demand

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Overall comments on this report are muted as the USDA made very few U.S. or world adjustments to the balance sheets. Some of the bearish attitudes may be lifted a bit without downward adjustments to corn or soybean exports. The only demand adjustment made is in U.S. soybean crush demand, revised 10 million bushels lower. Looking over pre-report trade estimates, corn ending stocks were 27 million bushels below the average trade guess at 1.837 Billion bushels which is not changed from Febru...
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09

February USDA Supply & Demand

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Initial numbers below:
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Today’s USDA reports reduced corn (0.8 bu per acre) and bean yields (0.3 bu per acre) surprising traders and pushing bean prices up over their green line 20-day moving average. Meal and all wheat contracts also surged through their resistance lines putting spec traders on notice that most short term crop market trends are turning up from down. Corn bumped up against its green line but did not clear that before sagging.
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09

December USDA Supply & Demand

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The USDA made minor adjustments in this report as trade looks to the Janurary report for more substantial supply/demand changes. The USDA did lower corn demand 25 million bushels by decreasing exports 50 million bushels and increased corn for ethanol by 25 million bushels. Soybeans and wheat were unchanged from November.
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10

November USDA Supply & Demand

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USDA estimates for U.S. corn and soybean yields exceeded the top end of trade guesses in both commodities and set the stage for an overall disappointing report for the bulls. Soybeans: U.S. demand for soybeans increased 40 million in exports and 10 million for crush but was not enough to offset the 93 million bushel larger bean production number. Soybean ending stocks increased above the top end guess at 465 million bushels.
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These data and comments are provided for information purposes only and are not intended to be used for specific trading strategies. This commentary is written as a daily marketing tool to help farmers sell the grain they raise. Although all information is believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Past performance and testimonials are not necessarily indicative of future results. Commodity trading involves the risk of loss, and you should fully understand those risks before trading.